Just about 15 minutes after I found out that Kiki Louder’s body had been discovered, (that’s a case I once wrote about) I learned a bit about the story of Shane Montgomery, a college kid who vanished in the Philadelphia area on Thanksgiving early morning (so late Wednesday night). Here are the basics of the story, and here’s a bit more information about why the FBI is currently involved in the case. The search is entering about a week now. People Magazine is even involved, even though it’s not a missing white woman syndrome case.
So what could have happened? There are plenty of theories.
I brought up Kiki Louder at the top of this post because she was ultimately found in a river. The same thing happened to Kristy Kelly — her car was found in a lake. People get drunk or get tired or whatever and fall into bodies of water, and that can be the end. It is sad, but true.
That’s a possibility in the Shane Montgomery case — he was walking around bars and an area with several canals. There are differing opinions on whether he was drunk. His mom says no, which is logical. Sheer logic of anyone who’s been 21 and back in their home area with their friends on the night before Thanksgiving would indicate he could have been, and there’s a whole storyline in this case about whether he got kicked out of a bar or was asked to leave because he bumped into DJ equipment. Go here and read Post #220 for a detailed rundown of events and timing.
There were cell phone pings in the wrong direction, but if you’ve been listening to Serial, you know cell phone pings can be a fool’s game — I believe Oregon and Illinois don’t even allow them in courtroom testimony anymore.
There’s also a whole issue with the direction Montgomery turned after he left the bar. He lived to the left, but apparently turned right. There are a couple of explanations for this — going to try and get another drink (been guilty of that), going to get food (ditto), confused/drunk (ditto), and/or meeting up with someone else/has a better plan to get home in their head (ditto). Any of these things is a possibility.
Here are the most logical things that potentially happened, IMHO:
- Drowning situation. Sad, but Occam’s Razor would point here.
- Possibly he got jumped by others in the area. Comments thread (take with a grain of salt) describes a similar situation.
- His cousin apparently worked at the bar him and his friends were at, or previously worked there. There could be some kind of beef among staff, etc. Something could have resulted there.
- Drinking/drug overdose. Again, sad, and not probable — but it’s possible.
- Got into a car — could explain the pings — and something happened after the fact.
This much we do know: the timelines are a bit confusing — although you’d hope law enforcement knows exactly the deal, and just doesn’t release everything to the public — and when someone is missing for seven days with no contact, you generally have to assume the worst, or at least brace for it.
If this is truly one of those situations where he got kicked out and the process of being kicked out separated him from his friends, then this idea comes into play even more.
Any ideas on what happened to Shane Montgomery?